2016 PV power station new installed capacity, the market reproduces the tide

Introduction: Recently, the National Energy Administration announced the "2016 Photovoltaic Power Generation Construction Plan Notice" that the new PV power storage capacity of the country this year will reach 18.1 million kilowatts. Including ordinary photovoltaic projects 12.6 million kilowatts, photovoltaic leading technology base 5.5 million kilowatts, excluding photovoltaic industry poverty alleviation indicators.

This year, the photovoltaic market reproduces the installed tide.

A few days ago, the National Energy Administration issued the "Notice on the Implementation Plan for Photovoltaic Power Generation Construction in 2016" (hereinafter referred to as the "Notice"). In 2016, the scale of the construction of new photovoltaic power plants nationwide will be 18.1 million kilowatts. Among them, the general photovoltaic power station project is 12.6 million kilowatts, and the photovoltaic leading technology base is 5.5 million kilowatts.

The "Notice" requires that the use of fixed photovoltaic power generation projects for roofs, walls and ancillary buildings, as well as all self-use ground photovoltaic power plant projects, does not limit the scale of construction.

The reporter noted that in addition to the planned target of 18.1GW for new installations in 2016, the Notice also pointed out that new indicators for PV poverty alleviation will be issued subsequently.

This also means that the new installed capacity indicators in 2016 do not include the poverty alleviation indicators for the photovoltaic industry.

Installed capacity increased year by year

With the emphasis on environmental protection, the country is also paying more and more attention to the development of clean energy. In recent years, with the strong policy support of the central government, the photovoltaic industry has also experienced explosive growth, and the newly added installed capacity has ranked first in the world for three consecutive years.

According to the data of the National Energy Administration, from 2013, the cumulative installed capacity of photovoltaic power generation in the country was 19.42 million kilowatts, including 16.32 million kilowatts of photovoltaic power plants and 3.1 million kilowatts of distributed photovoltaics. As of the end of September 2015, the installed capacity of photovoltaic power generation in the country reached 37.95 million kilowatts, including 31.7 million kilowatts of photovoltaic power plants and 6.25 million kilowatts of distributed photovoltaics. From January to September, the installed capacity of new photovoltaic power generation in the country was 9.9 million kilowatts, an increase of 161% year-on-year. Among them, the installed capacity of new photovoltaic power plants is 8.32 million kilowatts, and the newly added distributed photovoltaic installed capacity is 1.58 million kilowatts.

According to the reporter's observation, compared with March 2015, the construction scale of the newly added photovoltaic power plants required by the National Energy Administration was officially adjusted from the 15GW at the time of the draft for the consultation to 17.8GW. Last year's PV index was slightly less than 18.1GW this year, which is Said that this year's PV indicators are greater than last year's indicators.

According to Shang Yan, an energy expert at the Institute of Quality Medicine, plus this year's PV poverty alleviation indicators and additional indicators that are not yet known, in 2016, the installed capacity of PV will exceed the installed capacity in 2015.

In an interview with reporters, Shang Yan said that in the second half of 2016, the photovoltaic industry will usher in explosive growth.

According to industry observers, in the next five years, the scale of PV poverty alleviation will be around 15GW, that is, the annual increase will reach 2GW to 5GW. That is to say, this year's 18.1GW new installed capacity target, plus 2GW to 5GW of PV poverty alleviation new installed capacity, in 2016, China's total installed PV capacity will reach at least 20.1GW.

Power-down price node boosts the tide of rushing

June 30 this year (hereinafter referred to as "630"), originally a very common year-end dividing line, however, for photovoltaic companies, "6·30" is a sensitive figure.

According to the relevant regulations, photovoltaic power generation projects that have been registered for annual scale management before 2016 will implement new electricity price standards if they fail to complete grid-connected power generation by June 30, 2016.

This means that photovoltaic subsidies for photovoltaic power stations in Class I, II and III resource areas will fall by 0.1 yuan, 0.07 yuan and 0.02 yuan respectively.

Under the influence of the “6·30” measures, China's PV companies have once again set off a “lively” scene, and a new wave of rushing to install is being staged.

According to the data, in the first quarter of 2016 alone, the installed capacity of new photovoltaic power generation in the country was as high as 7.14 million kilowatts, which is nearly half of the increase in 2015 and 70% in 2014.

According to another data, in the first half of 2016, China's solar PV installed capacity exceeded 13GW.

Relevant personnel in the relevant PV industry also indicated that the newly installed capacity of photovoltaic power generation increased significantly in the first half of the year, and it has a great relationship with the photovoltaic power generation price before the downward adjustment.

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